Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014485 0.017907 0.022318 0.028584 0.037541 0.050376 0.071183
2025-02-02 0.010982 0.014981 0.020952 0.031125 0.049523 0.085304 0.174708
2025-02-09 0.008809 0.012718 0.019094 0.031315 0.057459 0.122753 0.376200
2025-02-16 0.007456 0.011221 0.017778 0.031573 0.065621 0.173703 0.891320
2025-02-23 0.006472 0.010053 0.016622 0.031531 0.073211 0.240427 2.494342
2025-03-02 0.005578 0.008847 0.015054 0.029895 0.075309 0.295218 6.995172
2025-03-09 0.004961 0.008025 0.014035 0.029162 0.079925 0.383684 43.640484
2025-03-16 0.004571 0.007554 0.013622 0.029805 0.090438 0.572550 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004210 0.007080 0.013095 0.029942 0.099548 0.838998 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003806 0.006466 0.012137 0.028490 0.100243 1.031568 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003503 0.006016 0.011476 0.027737 0.104184 1.385406 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003329 0.005809 0.011348 0.028655 0.119240 2.548722 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003207 0.005728 0.011597 0.031337 0.154568 9.990327 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003089 0.005642 0.011832 0.034281 0.204888 173.255532 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002886 0.005339 0.011425 0.034499 0.233258 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002710 0.005075 0.011070 0.034794 0.267142 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002546 0.004815 0.010677 0.034747 0.299953 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002352 0.004466 0.009966 0.032880 0.297740 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002206 0.004214 0.009499 0.032044 0.314491 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002111 0.004075 0.009349 0.032777 0.372647 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002012 0.003916 0.009107 0.032933 0.424510 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001884 0.003676 0.008579 0.031280 0.417443 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001784 0.003494 0.008213 0.030425 0.434982 NaN NaN